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31.
本文利用2017年中国家庭金融调查数据深入考察购房融资方式对家庭创业行为的影响。研究结果显示,相较于民间借贷购房的家庭,按揭贷款购房的家庭参与创业活动的可能性更高,且更倾向于主动创业。进一步机制分析发现,相较于民间借贷购房,按揭贷款购房能够降低家庭的流动性约束,缓解家庭的资金压力,从而促进创业。同时,按揭贷款购房能使家庭获得充足的贷款额度与较长的贷款期限,进而有助于家庭创业。而且在偿还按揭贷款的过程中,家庭能与银行建立长期良好的信贷关系,从而有助于提高家庭获得正规信贷的可能性,促进家庭创业。为了积极推进创业创新的战略部署,应进一步健全银行信贷体系,发展和完善住房金融制度,从而有利于缓解小微企业融资难、融资贵的问题,释放和激发家庭创业活力。 相似文献
32.
人口老龄化与房价的区域差异研究——基于面板协整模型的实证分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文通过结构性视角,由面板协整检验证明了人口老龄化对房价波动存在长期影响,继以面板误差修正模型讨论了人口结构影响房价波动的区域差别、原因及政策建议。实证结果显示:储蓄、住房需求多元化和家庭结构是造成老年人群推动房价上涨的主要原因,但未来人口老龄化能否引起房价的长期下降,取决于青年人群对住房需求的实现能力;人口老龄化对房价的影响存在区域差异,预示着部分区域房价或已脱离实际面、青年人群的购买力与高房价间矛盾日蹙。从减缓人口老龄化对我国房地产乃至社会经济发展可能带来冲击的角度来看,应及早以前瞻性政策应对。 相似文献
33.
Developing a House Price Index for The Netherlands: A Practical Application of Weighted Repeat Sales 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
S. J. T. Jansen P. de Vries H. C. C. H. Coolen C. J. M. Lamain P. J. Boelhouwer 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,37(2):163-186
This paper describes the development of a house price index that has been introduced in May 2005 in The Netherlands. This
monthly index, called Woningwaarde Index Kadaster (House Price Index Kadaster), is designed to detect changes in the price
of the overall stock of owner-occupied homes. Fifty-five indices are calculated: one overall index, four regional indices,
12 provincial indices and 38 indices based on combinations of region/province and dwelling type. We used Case and Shiller’s
geometric Weighted Repeat Sales Model to calculate monthly house price indices. We used recorded data on the sales of over
500,000 owner-occupied homes in The Netherlands, all representing repeat sales between January 1993 and December 2006. The
accuracy of the index was determined using the 95% confidence interval. We observed that accuracy might become a problem in
smaller sub samples. Revision volatility was explored by comparing the index values computed from all available data until
December 2005 with the index values computed from the data available until December 2006. Our analysis showed that revision
volatility does not seem to be a major problem to the index. We also explored heteroskedasticity in the Repeat Sales method
but did not find conclusive evidence for the proposed heteroskedasticity. Given our target (a geometric mean index value)
and the characteristics of the dataset (very large but without property characteristics) the Repeat Sales Method seems to
be adequate for calculating a house price index for The Netherlands.
相似文献
P. J. BoelhouwerEmail: |
34.
This study provides evidence for the impact of an urban growth boundary (UGB) on house prices. The study employs a two-stage quantile spatial regression method on a dataset that inventories sales transactions of single-family houses within two miles of either side of the eastern boundary of the primary UGB in King County, Washington. The results show that while the UGB decreases house prices across the entire house price spectrum, the impact is uneven; it is most pronounced for houses in the 5th to 8th decile of prices. These findings should encourage policy makers to adopt sub-housing-market-level policy approaches to address UGB and other urban and regional development policies’ potential impacts on house prices. 相似文献
35.
《Journal of Property Research》2012,29(1):1-19
Studies of United States, Swedish, and Australian cities have obtained mixed results regarding the existence of housing market bubbles. The US estimates imply large bubbles on its two coasts, but not inland, and the Australian and Swedish estimates imply insignificant and modest bubbles, respectively. The results of the present work for three New Zealand cities are most similar to those for Swedish cities. Like evidence from the other countries, real income (employment and the real wage rate), real construction costs, and the real after-tax interest rate all matter. While the estimation methodology is similar to an error correction model, it is believed to be a superior method when the data time series is short. In any event, tests for house price bubbles would seem to be necessary in house price research. 相似文献
36.
李松华 《技术经济与管理研究》2015,(1):79-83
理论研究表明利率对房价的影响方向取决于房地产需求和供给对于利率变动反应的敏感性,但实践检验结论不一。为此,文章首先通过建立一个动态随机一般均衡模型(DSGE),从理论上分析了利率对房价的影响,然后基于我国1998年1季度-2013年4季度的房价和利率数据,采用协整、向量误差纠正模型和基于VAR的脉冲响应、方差分解等手段实证检验了利率调控我国房价的数量效应。研究发现,长期中利率推动了我国房价的上涨,但脉冲响应和方差分解表明利率对房价上涨的推动作用有限;VECM估计表明短期中调整利率与房价向其长期均衡水平回归的动态机制不存在,房价会进一步偏离其均衡状态,这意味着短期中利率对房价的调控效应更差,房价会进一步上涨。 相似文献
37.
旅蒙晋商明清时代开发蒙古市场研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
在经济文化落后的地区做生意,总是要遇到许多困难的,如何在硬通货缺乏的情况下达成买卖双方满意的协议;如何在交通、通讯落后,社会安全系数很低的情况下纵横数万里,将易掉膘、易死亡,需要粮草和人工饲养的牛马羊等活资产顺利地运到内地;如何适应蒙古牧民的流动式生活,开展流动贸易;如何在蒙古牧民生活水平低、信用度不高的情况下开展赊欠业务。旅蒙晋商成功地解决了这些问题,并使蒙古地区变为自己巩固的战略大后方。 相似文献
38.
经济适用房的历史地位与改革方向 总被引:16,自引:1,他引:16
经济适用房曾被赋予了我国住房供应体系的主体的地位.五年多来,经济适应房建设取得了巨大的成效,也暴露出了严重的缺陷.本文从改革与发展两个角度研究了经济适用房的发展历程与成就,探讨了其内在缺陷,论证了在我国中低价位的商品房市场正在形成,并且在两年左右的时间内,低价商品房市场将与经济适用房市场现实地形成竞争.在此基础上,本文认为经济适用房作为我国住房体制改革的阶段性措施已初步完成了它的历史使命.随着客观条件的变化,经济适用房建设应逐步让位于普通的商品房市场. 相似文献
39.
Little is known about the effectiveness of casino free-play campaigns, despite hundreds of millions of dollars in annual redemptions. These costly play incentives are awarded to individual players, based largely on management’s evaluation of their historical play. Extant campaign-level research suggests these incentives may not be effective in driving spend per visit, but there has been no attempt to examine efficacy across player tiers (e.g., light, medium, and heavy users). Analysis of 365 days of performance data from a Las Vegas Strip casino produced varied results across tiers, but all tier-level findings indicated a failure to recover the face value of the free-play incentives. While no support was garnered for the house money effect, the results were consistent with the notion of loss aversion. The methodological approach outlined herein provides the means to critically evaluate free-play offers at the tier level, fast-tracking campaign optimization via more targeted revisions. 相似文献
40.
在对房地产基础价值进行界定的基础上,提出了基于房地产租赁价格并考虑通胀因素的房地产价格泡沫测度方法。利用广州市2001-2013年的相关数据,对房地产价格泡沫程度进行了分析,并提出了相应的警戒标准,进而得出结论:以广州市为代表的一线城市的房地产价格尚未达到30%的泡沫警戒线,房价涨跌幅度仍属市场机制调节的正常范围,因而没有必要采取非市场调节手段干预房价的正常波动。 相似文献